案例,spss,数据分析

Z值模型在上市公司财务预警分析中的应用


全文字数:9000字左右  原创时间:<=2022年

【内容摘要】

Z值模型在上市公司财务预警分析中的应用


我们都知道财务风险是客观存在的,财务是现代企业的命脉,这些风险无疑会给企业生重大的影响,倘若公司的财务出了问题没有及时采取措施来予以补救,很可能就关系到公司是市场上生存的问题。因此,对企业的经济情况进行预测、进行研究并进行控制管理至关重要。财务预警,即财务失败预警,是指借助企业提供的财务 报表、经营计划及其他相关会计资料,利用财会、统计、金融、企业管理、市场营销理论,采用比率分析、比较分析、因素分析及多种分析方法,对企业的经营活动、财务活动等进行分析预测,以发现企业在经营管理活动中潜在的经营风险和财务风险,并在危机发生之前向企业经营者发出警告,督促企业管理当局采取有效措施,避免潜在的风险演变成损失,起到未雨绸缪的作用。
本文通过对汽车制造业上市公司中的企业进行财务风险预警分析,帮助公司能够更好的认识到企业的财务风险,并通过模型计算出来的值对其破产风险进行一定的判断,使企业可以做好防范措施,使其能在市场经济中能够健康生存下去。

关键词:财务预警;破产风险;Z值模型  
The model of Z value in the application of the analysis of listed companies Financial Distress        ——To Dongfeng Motor and *ST Baolong
ABSTRACT
We all know that financial risk is an reality objective, the financial is the life of modern enterprises, these risks will undoubtedly give companies a significant impact, it may be related to the company’s survival in the market if the company's financial problem is not take measures timely. Therefore, it is crucial to predict the economic situation of enterprises, to study on it and take control management. Financial warning, financial failure of early warning, is through the company’s financial statements and other relevant accounting information, using accounting, statistics, finance, business management, marketing theory, use of ratio analysis, comparative analysis, factor analysis and multi- kinds of analysis to  provided through corporate financial statements, business plans and other relevant accounting information, and use statistics, finance, business management, marketing theory, the use of ratio analysis, comparative analysis, factor analysis and multi- kinds of analysis to forecasting activities of the enterprises,and finally find the potential business risk and financial risk before the crisis issue warning .Those things will urge enterprises to take management effective measures to avoid the risk of evolving into a potential loss, play a proactive role.
   Based on analysis of the automobile manufacturing enterprises listed to help the companies to   recognize the financial risks ,and by the value of the model can make some judgment to the Bankruptcy Risk, so the enterprises can do preventive measures to make it survive healthy in the market.

Key words: Financial Warning; Bankruptcy Risk; The model of Z value
 
目录
一、绪论 1
(一)引言 1
(二)选题的目的、意义及方法 1
二、文献评述 2
(一)国外研究现状 2
(二)国内研究现状 3
三、模型简介 3
(一)单变量预警模型 3
(二)多元线性判别模型 4
四、案例及数据分析 6
(一)东风汽车股份有限公司数据分析 7
(二)广东东方兄弟投资股份有限公司数据分析 8
(三)数据结果分析 11
五、结论与极限性 14
(一)结论 14
(二)极限性及建议 14
参考文献 15
致谢 16

 

 

*若需了解更多与协助请咨询↓→[电脑QQ][手机QQ]【数据协助】