黄金价格波动的实证分析

内容摘要：本文主要选取了黄金价格波动作为主要研究内容，阐述了黄金价格波动的影响因素，并对影响因素进行了实证分析。本文首先阐述了黄金价格变动的历史沿革和现状，然后分析对黄金价格波动产生影响的各种因素。供需关系对黄金价格的影响分析，美元指数对黄金价格的影响分析，石油价格对黄金价格的影响分析。通过分析找出影响黄金价格波动的最重要的两个因素：美元指数，石油价格。最后基于经济学基本原理，进行黄金价格影响因素的实证分析。通过上文的分析，选择美元指数、石油价格作为两个变量，利用EView软件去构建黄金价格波动影响因素的模型，最后对构建的模型进行实证分析和结果分析及其解释，得出结论。

关键词：黄金价格，美元指数，石油价格
 Gold fluctuations in the price of the empirical analysis
Abstract：This paper mainly selected the gold price as the main research contents, expounds the influence factors of gold price fluctuations, and the factors affecting the empirical analysis. This paper expounds the gold price change the history and present situation, and then to the gold price fluctuation analysis the influence of various factors. Supply and demand relation to the price of gold the impact analysis, the dollar index to the price of gold the impact analysis, the price of oil to the price of gold the impact analysis. Through the analysis of the impact of the fluctuation in the price of gold find out the two most important factors: the dollar index, the price of oil. Finally, based on the basic principle of economics, gold price effect factors of the empirical analysis. Through the analysis of the above, choose the dollar index, oil price as two variables, the use EView soft 。

Key words：Gold prices，The dollar index，Energy prices，

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