文章以间产品的进口和经济增长为研究对象，通过大量的数据研究发现中间产品的进口促进了中国制造业特别是机械及运输设备产业的发展，
中国通过中间产品的进口促进了加工贸易的发展和参与世界垂直专业化的分工，进而促进了中国经济的增长，同时中国通过中间产品的进口提高了中国出口商品的竞争力，使中国近年来的出口得到快速发展。为证明中国中间产品的进口与经济增长是否存在相关性，文章进行了实证分析，运用协整检验、因果检验等方法，充分考察了中间产品进口与经济增长之间的长期关系，研究结果表明中国中间产品的进口对经济增长有促进作用。从长期来看，中间产品的进口每增加1个百分点，GDP便会增加0.617745个百分点;短期内，中间产品进口增加1个百分点，GDP将增加0.60027个百分点，而且中间产品进口变化是GDP变化的原因。文章得出研究的结论。最后，在此基础上提出了相应的政策建议。
关键词:中间产品进口:经济增长:比较优势;国际分工;协整检验
Abstract：In recent decades, due to the deepening of the international division and the development of vertical specialization, the structure of imports has been greatly changed, the production and trade of intermediate products has been growing rapidly, and it becomes the major factors of world trade’s growth. China imports of intermediate products has entered a rapid development track, the value of trade increases form 76.499 billion US dollars in 1995 to 381.066 billion US dollars in 2005,accountiong for a share of China total imports for 55% to 70%. It has become the main component of China imports. The import of intermediate goods is different form the import of final product. It has a direct access to production areas, and has a direct impact on economic growth of the import country. So study of the relationship between the imports of intermediate goods and the economic growth seems particularly important.
The paper takes the import of intermediate goods and economic growth as a main content to study. In the theory part, the paper studies from Edgeworth box map, the relative shortage of factor of growth and the mechanism of imports of intermediate goods impacting on economic growth, The results show that the import of intermediate goods not only increases the consumption of final product in importing countries, but also increases the production of final product in importing countries, and improves the welfare of the importing country, so it has a significant impact on economic growth, In the empirical part, This paper unfolds the import of intermediate products promotes the development of China manufacturing industry (especially machinery and transport equipment industry) by amount of data research, and the import of intermediate products promotes the involvement of specialization on world vertical specialization and development of China processing trade, and thus it accelerates the development of China economy, Meanwhile, the import of intermediate products enhances the competitiveness of China export commodities and expands exports. To prove whether there is the correlation between China imports of intermediate products and the economic growth, the paper makes empirical analysis studies the long-term relationship between intermediate goods imports and economic growth, using cointegration test and the test of causation. The results show that the import of intermediate goods promotes China economic growth. In long term, intermediate goods imports increased by 1%,GDP would increase 0.600227%. And the change of imports of intermediate products is the reason that leads to the changes of GDP, the paper makes conclusions. Finally, the paper gives some corresponding policy recommendations on the base.
Keywords: import of intermediate product; economic growth, comparative advantage; international division; cointegration test
目 录
摘要（本论文范文的论文综述） …………………………………………………………………………………Ⅰ
关键词 ………………………………………………………………………………Ⅰ
Abstract ……………………………………………………………………………Ⅰ
Key words……………………………………………………………………………Ⅱ
第1章 绪论……………………………………………………………………………1
1.1研究背景及意义 …………………………………………………………………1
1.2 关于中间产品进口与经济增长的实证性分析 ……………………………………1
1.2.1 进口与经济增长的实证性分析 ………………………………………………1
1.2.2中间产品贸易与经济增长的实证分析…………………………………………1
1.3 研究内容与主要创新点 …………………………………………………………2
1.3.1 研究内容 ……………………………………………………………………2
1.3.2 主要创新点 …………………………………………………………………2
第2章 中间产品进口促进经济增长的现状分析…………………………………………3
2.1 中间产品进口成为中国进口重要部件的方式之一 ………………………………3
2.1.1 中间产品进口以机械及运输设备产业进口占多数 ……………………………3
2.1.2 中间产品进口推动加工贸易快速增长…………………………………………3
2.1.3 中间产品进口推动中国参与国际分工…………………………………………4
2.2 中间产品进口促进出口增长………………………………………………………4
2.2.1中国出口商品的现状 …………………………………………………………4
2.2.2 中间产品进口提高了中国出口商品的竞争力 …………………………………5
第3章政策建议…………………………………………………………………………7
3.1 适度夸大中间产品进口的规模……………………………………………………7
3.3 利用加工贸易融入全球价值链……………………………………………………7
3.4 加速中间产品的升级换代…………………………………………………………8
结语……………………………………………………………………………………9
致谢……………………………………………………………………………………9
参考文献 ………………………………………………………………………………9
*若需了解更多与协助请咨询↓→[电脑QQ][手机QQ]【数据协助】
