对外贸易对义乌经济增长的研究
对外贸易对义乌经济增长的研究
摘要：改革开放以来，我国大力发展外向型经济，同时国民经济持续快速增长，对外贸易的不断扩大对地区经济增长产生了重要影响。随着经济全球化的不断深入，对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系成为一个值得探讨的课题。本文以出口大省浙江省的县级市义乌市为例，在回顾外贸- 增长关系的相关理论的基础上，对浙江对外贸易与经济增长的情况进行研究，然后运用回归分析对义乌的进出口、经济增长的关系进行实证的分析，其结果表明当前对外贸易与经济增长存在着长期稳定的依赖关系。接着进一步分析这一现象的具体原因。最后，本文针对2009年义务市乃至全国所面临的经济危机的问题进行探讨，并提出可行性的建议。
关键词：经济增长；对外贸易；亿元市场
Comparative Foreign trade of YiWu economic growth to obligations
Abstract：Since the reform and open policy, our country has developed the export-orient economy vigorously, simultaneously the national economy continues the swift growth, the foreign trade expands unceasingly to the local economic growth has had the material effect. Along with the economic globalization unceasingly thorough, between the foreign trade and economic growth's relational into the topic which is worth discussing.。This article take export big province Zhejiang Province's county-level city YiWu as an example, in the review foreign trade-growth relations' correlation theories' foundation, conducts the research to the Zhejiang foreign trade and economic growth's situation, then using regression analysis to the YiWu import and export, economic growth's relations carries on the real diagnosis the analysis, its result indicated that the current foreign trade and the economic growth have the long-term stability the dependence. Then further analyzes this phenomenon the concrete reason. Finally, this article economic crisis's question which faces in view of the short-term YiWu city and even the nation carries on the discussion, and puts forward the feasible proposal.
Keyword :economic growth；foreign trade；Billion Yuan market
目 录
1 引 言 1
2 对外贸易对经济增长影响的理论分析 2
2.1李嘉图的比较优势理论 2
2.2“经济增长的发动机”理论 2
3 义乌对外贸易的现状分析 3
3.1 义乌对外贸易的规模 3
3.2义乌出口的主要国家 4
3.3义乌对外贸易的商品结构 4
3.4 义乌市对外贸易的主要特点 6
3.4.1义乌对外贸易是依托专业批发市场发展起来的 6
3.4.2“贸工联动”战略有力促进了整个外贸产业的发展 6
4 义乌对外贸易与经济增长的实证分析 7
4.1对外贸易与经济增长关系研究的建模方法 7
4.1.1变量及模型选择 7
4.1.2回归结果及分析 7
5 对策建议 8
6.1 坚持可持续发展战略 9
6.2 优化进出口商品结构 9
6.3促进消费和投资 10
6.4改善投资环境 10
7 结论 11
参考文献 12
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