影响我国留学生赴美留学的主要因素 出国留学是随着经济和国家开放度不断提升而愈加明显的一种社会行为，在我国整个留学历史当中，近几年可以说是到达了顶峰，留学对一个国家的经济，政治，教育有着深远的影响。目前，我国已经是世界上最大留学生来源地，选择赴美留学的人数高居第一，研究赴美留学的因素具有独特意义。本文利用Eviews10.0软件，研究了2009-2019年11年的时间序列数据：包含国内生产总值，城镇居民可支配收入，硕士研究生报名及录取情况。通过单位根检验、协整检验来验证变量之间的关系是成立的，不存在虚假回归现象，通过多重共线性检验对模型进行检验和相应的修正，最后用逐步回归得到本文的最终结果，得到比较可信的模型结果后，对变量之间的关系进行比较好的验证。研究表明城镇居民可支配收入和研究生未录取率对学生做出留学选择有着正向的影响。本文最后提出建议：需坚持国内高等教育改革和发展，教育产业的繁荣发展才不会使人才大量流失海外。完善人才引进计划，让更多的人愿意为中国的全面发展贡献力量。 关键词：赴美留学，可支配收入，研究生录取率，单位根检验 Analysis on the Motivation and Influencing factors of Chinese students studying abroad ABSTRACT Studying abroad is a social behavior that becomes more and more obvious with the continuous improvement of economy and national openness. In the whole history of studying abroad in China, it can be said that it has reached the peak in recent years. Studying abroad has a profound impact on the economy, politics and education of a country. At present, China has become the largest source of overseas students in the world, and the number of students who choose to study in the United States ranks first. Therefore, it is of unique significance to study the factors of studying in the United States. This paper uses Eviews10.0 software to study the time series data of 11 years from 2009 to 2019, including GDP, urban residents' disposable income, and the enrollment and enrollment of postgraduate students. By unit root test and cointegration test to verify the relationship between the variables is established, there is no false regression phenomenon, through the multicollinearity test was carried out on the model test and the corresponding correction, with stepwise regression to get the final result of this paper, finally get more credible model results, to better the relationship between the variables. The research shows that the disposable income of urban residents and the rate of postgraduate failure have a positive impact on students' choice of studying abroad. In the end, this paper suggests that the reform and development of domestic higher education should be maintained so that the prosperity of the education industry will not cause a large number of talents to drain overseas. We will improve the talent introduction plan so that more people will be willing to contribute to China's all-round development. Key words: Study abroad in the US, disposable income, graduate enrollment rate, Unit root test 目录 一、引言 1 （一）研究背景 1 （二）研究意义 1 （三）研究思路 2 （四）理论基础 2 1．美国国际留学生招生数量变化 2 2．美国国际留学生来源国统计 3 3．赴美留学生学段分布 3 4．我国出国留学人员统计 3 5．我国留学生主要去向国家及数量 5 二、实证分析过程 5 （一）建立模型 5 （二）变量的选择与数据来源 6 （三）回归分析与结果 6 1．平稳性检验 6 2．多重共线性 7 3．模型回归 8 4．残差平稳性检验 8 （四）分析结果 9 四、结论与建议 9 （一）结论 9 （二）建议 10 参考文献 12
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