交通运输业发展对经济增长的影响计量分析 ——以福建省为例 交通运输行业与经济发展存在密切的关系，为此本文研究福建省城交通运输业对经济增长的影响因素，及时掌握福建省客货运量和交通运输投资额的变动方向，从而提出符合福建省实际情况的对策建议，对推动交通运输业发展，促进福建省经济平稳高效增长具有重要的现实意义。通过统计年鉴收集相关信息，采用实证分析法，选取福建省数据，利用统计软件R，建立多元线性回归模型，研究交通运输于经济增长的关系。结果表明：福建省的交通运输能力发展极大促进了福建省的经济发展，尤其是福建省的货物运输能力和对交通基础设施投资的增长对福建省经济的拉动作用较明显，这一现象成为福建省区域经济与交通运输业发展的鲜明特点。并且，福建省的交通运输能力相对于福建省迅速发展的经济而言还未达到饱和状态，尚有巨大的发展空间。针对福建省交通运输业的不足，提出加大交通投资精准力度、协调经济于交通关系、加强交通运输人才的培养，期望能够有助于推动福建省交通运输业的发展，提升交通运输总体水平，促进福建省经济可持续健康发展。 关键词：交通运输业；经济增长；发展 Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Transportation Development on Economic Growth ABSTRACT The transportation industry has a close relationship with economic development. Therefore, this paper studies the factors influencing the economic growth of Fujian's urban transportation industry and timely grasps the direction of changes in passenger and freight volume and transportation investment in Fujian Province so as to propose that it is in line with the actual situation of Fujian Province. The countermeasures and suggestions of the situation have important practical significance for promoting the development of the transportation industry and promoting the steady and efficient growth of Fujian's economy. Collect relevant information through statistical yearbooks, use empirical analysis, select data from Fujian Province, use statistical software R, establish a linear model, study the relationship between transportation and economic growth. The linear model shows that the development of the transportation capacity of Fujian Province significantly improves the economic development of Fujian Province. The cargo transportation capacity of Fujian Province and the investment in the transportation industry have a significant effect on the economic growth of Fujian Province. This phenomenon has become a distinctive feature of developing the regional economy and transportation industry in Fujian Province. Moreover, the transportation capacity of Fujian Province has not yet reached saturation compared with the rapidly developing economy of Fujian Province, and there is still huge room for development. In view of the shortcomings of Fujian's transportation industry, this paper proposes to increase the precision of transportation investment, coordinate the economy with transportation relations, and strengthen the training of transportation talents, hoping to help promote the development of Fujian's transportation industry and improve the overall level of transportation To promote the sustainable and healthy development of Fujian's economy. Keywords：Transportation industry; Economic growth; Development 目 录 一、引言 1 （一）研究背景及意义 1 （二）文献综述 1 （三）本文的框架安排 3 二、数据来源及研究方法 3 （一）数据来源 3 （二）指标变量选取 3 （三）研究方法与理论依据 5 三、实证分析 6 （一）模型构建 6 （二）结果分析 8 四、结论及政策启示 9 参考文献 12 附录 13
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